Monthly Archive 2024年9月24日

One of the marquee matchups on the Week 3 NFL schedule is a cross-conference matchup between unbeaten teams with Minnesota Vikings (2-0) hosting the Houston Texans (2-0) on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Vikings are coming off a 23-17 upset win over the San Francisco 49ers, while the Texans beat the Bears 19-13 on Sunday Night Football in Week 2. The Vikings are 1.5-point home underdogs in the latest Week 3 NFL odds, and the over/under is 46.5 points. Is Vikings vs. Texans among the Week 3 NFL games that NFL sharps are targeting in Las Vegas? Before making NFL Week 3 picks or bets, you need to see the against the spread picks from the sharp money gamblers and professional football bettors in Las Vegas.

Sharp money bettors are notorious in Las Vegas for finding value in point spreads and betting lines that casual bettors may not see. These professional bettors are respected by sportsbooks in Vegas and all around the world, and their betting action often causes bookmakers to change their lines.

Jay Kornegay of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas joined SportsLine NFL expert Jimmie Kaylor to share who the Vegas sharps are backing in the Week 3 NFL odds. Kornegay is a longtime oddsmaker at the SuperBook, and has been a key player on the Vegas bookmaking scene for more than 25 years. He was inducted into the Sports Betting Hall of Fame Class of 2024.

Now that the sharps in Las Vegas have had a chance to digest the Week 3 NFL odds, they’ve start to lock in their picks for the Week 3 NFL schedule. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

Top Vegas NFL sharp money picks for Week 3
For Week 3, one of the Sharp Money plays the SuperBook has taken is the Baltimore Ravens (-1) covering against the Dallas Cowboys. It may only be Week 3, but this game is essentially a must-win for the Ravens if they want to keep pace in the AFC and live up to their billing as preseason Super Bowl contenders. Only one team since the 2000 season has qualified for the postseason after opening the season with three straight losses.

Lamar Jackson is the reigning NFL MVP, and he has arguably the best supporting cast he’s ever had as a pro. Two-time rushing champion Derrick Henry joins Jackson in the Ravens’ backfield, and the former Alabama star is a threat to erupt in any game he plays. Tight end Mark Andrews and wide receiver Zay Flowers give the Ravens a dynamic duo on the outside that will keep Dallas from being able to stack the box to defend the run. See who else the Vegas Sharps are backing in Week 3 here.

How to get sharp money Vegas NFL ATS picks for Week 3
The Vegas sharps have also targeted two other NFL games and already locked in their against the spread picks. You can only see who they are backing in Week 3 here.

Can the Arizona Cardinals stay hot and should you back them with your Week 3 NFL bets? Arizona is 1-1 on the season following a surprise 41-10 win against the Los Angeles Rams. Kyler Murray threw for 266 yards and three touchdowns in that game, connecting with rookie wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. for two of those scores. It could be hard for them to repeat that success in Week 3, however, as they welcome the Detroit Lions to University of Phoenix Stadium. The Lions are hungry for revenge after falling 20-16 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2, upending many NFL knockout pool picks. They are 3-point favorites in the NFL odds to beat the Cardinals, like they have in four of the last five meetings between these teams, and could be popular Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks. Before finalizing any Week 3 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine’s simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of simulations, and L.A. also manhandled the Panthers, 26-3.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds and locked in its Week 3 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 3 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Chiefs (-3, 46.5) versus Atlanta, even though the reigning champs have started off 2-0, with wins over preseason Super Bowl contenders in the Ravens and Bengals. Patrick Mahomes may have won back-to-back Super Bowls, but Kirk Cousins has been the more productive quarterback two games into the season. In Week 2, Cousins threw for 241 yards and two touchdowns in a 22-21 upset win against the Philadelphia Eagles while Mahomes threw for 152 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in a narrow 26-25 win against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Mahomes will also be without some of this key weapons in Week 3. Star running back Isiah Pacheco (ankle) will miss at least six weeks and receiver Marquise Brown (collarbone) is still sidelined. Tight end Travis Kelce is having a slow start to the season and only had one catch in Week 2 and is about to go up against a Falcons pass defense that has only allowed one touchdown so far this season. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Jim Harbaugh’s Los Angeles Chargers (2-0) visit Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) for a Week 3 AFC showdown on Sunday on CBS and Paramount+. Harbaugh has the Chargers undefeated heading into Week 3, but they could be at a disadvantage as Justin Herbert battles through an early-season ankle injury. Meanwhile, the Steelers continue to roll with Justin Fields under center and rely on the T.J. Watt-led defense to keep games close. You may be able to stream Sunday’s game live on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first seven days and get 50% off your first year when you sign up here (expires 9/23/24).

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is at 1 p.m. ET. The Steelers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Steelers vs. Chargers odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 35. Sunday’s game will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now get for 50% off your first year plus a 7-day free trial.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can now get 50% off one year of Paramount+ with SHOWTIME, plus a free 7-day trial. The offer is valid until 9/23/24, so sign up right here.

How to watch Chargers vs. Steelers
Steelers vs. Chargers date: Sunday, Sept. 22
Steelers vs. Chargers time: 1 p.m. ET
Steelers vs. Chargers TV channel: CBS
Steelers vs. Chargers streaming: Paramount+
Week 3 NFL picks for Chargers vs. Steelers
Before tuning into Sunday’s Steelers vs. Chargers game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL betting picks since Week 7 of 2022.

For Steelers vs. Chargers, the model is picking Pittsburgh to cover the spread at home. Sunday’s matchup promises to be an interesting one since both teams have primarily stayed undefeated because of their defenses. Los Angeles has gotten a nice boost from running back J.K. Dobbins, but his production could see a decline on Sunday against a Steelers rush defense that ranks fourth in the NFL.

In addition, the Steelers have dominated this series over the years, winning 10 of the last 14 meetings against the Chargers. Los Angeles is also 1-5 in its last six meetings against an AFC opponent, while the Steelers have won five of their past seven games when playing as the favorite. You may be able to stream the game here.