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2025 NBA picks, March 12 best bets from proven model

We’ve got another exciting Atlantic Division matchup on Wednesday’s NBA schedule as the Philadelphia 76ers will visit the Toronto Raptors. Toronto is 22-43 overall and 15-20 at home, while Philadelphia is 22-42 overall and 10-21 on the road. The Raptors have won both of the previous meetings this season, which ended a Sixers’ seven-game win streak in the head-to-head series. Toronto is 37-26-2 against the spread (ATS) in the 2024-25 NBA season, while Philadelphia is 23-41 versus the number.

Tipoff is at at 7:30 p.m. ET at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, where the home team is 15-20 this season. The Raptors are favored by 5 points in the latest 76ers vs. Raptors odds, per SportsLine consensus. The over/under is 221.5 points, which is a massive increase over opening at 213.5. Toronto is at -197 on the money line (risk $197 to win $100), while Philadelphia is at +163 (risk $100 to win $163). Before entering any Raptors vs. 76ers picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Philadelphia vs. Toronto. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for 76ers vs. Raptors:

Raptors vs. 76ers spread: Raptors -5
Raptors vs. 76ers over/under: 221.5 points
Raptors vs. 76ers money line: Raptors: -197, 76ers: +163
Raptors vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Raptors vs. 76ers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)-
Why the Raptors can cover
On Monday, the Raptors didn’t have too much trouble with the Washington Wizards as they won 119-104. AJ Lawson was the offensive standout as he dropped a double-double with 32 points and 12 rebounds off the bench, after scoring a combined 37 points over his first nine games with Toronto. The Raptors smashed the offensive glass and finished the game with a season-high of 28 offensive rebounds, besting their previous high of 23 offensive boards.

That strategy of attacking the offensive glass should remain in place on Wednesday as Philly ranks dead-last in the NBA in both total rebounds and defensive rebounds. Philly is without MVP center Joel Embiid (knee), as well as Paul George (groin) and Tyrese Maxey (finger), while backup center, Andre Drummond (illness) is questionable. Also, one can’t ignore these teams’ respective spread success as Toronto has the third-best spread record in the NBA, while the Sixers have the league’s worst ATS record. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the 76ers can cover
Meanwhile, the 76ers couldn’t handle the Atlanta Hawks on Monday and fell 132-123, despite Quentin Grimes putting forth a good effort. He shot 56% from the field en route to 35 points to go along with seven boards and five assists. The 76ers also got a nice contribution from their bench, which poured in 53 points, led by Ricky Council IV dropping 19 points.

Despite the straight-up defeat, Philadelphia did cover on Monday, and it has an advantage in regard to the spread over Toronto in one area. The Raptors are 0-3 ATS when they are favored in between -2 and -5, with Wednesday’s line falling within those parameters. Additionally, the Raptors may be even more banged up than Philadelphia, considering the lengthy injury list for Toronto. RJ Barrett (personal), Immanuel Quickley (rest) and Gradey Dick (knee) are out, Brandon Ingram (ankle) has yet to suit up since being traded to Toronto, and Scottie Barnes (hand) is questionable for tonight. Thus, the team could be down to one player averaging more than 10 points per game. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Raptors vs. 76ers picks
The model has simulated 76ers vs. Raptors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, projecting 215 combined points. It’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Raptors vs. Sixers on Wednesday, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Sixers vs. Raptors spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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2025 NBA picks, March 12 best bets from proven model

Two of the NBA’s best teams clash when the Boston Celtics face the Oklahoma City Thunder in a possible NBA Finals preview on Wednesday night. Boston is coming off a 114-108 win over the Utah Jazz on Monday, while OKC dropped a 140-127 decision to the Denver Nuggets that same night. The Celtics (47-18), the second seed in the Eastern Conference, have won five games in a row. The Thunder (53-12), the top seed in the West, have won seven of their last eight. Guard Jalen Williams (hip) is out for OKC with Alex Caruso (illness) questionable. Meanwhile, Jayson Tatum (knee) and Kristaps Porzingis (illness) are questionable for Boston.

Tipoff from TD Garden in Boston is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. OKC won the first meeting with Boston 105-92 on Jan. 5. The Celtics are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Thunder vs. Celtics odds from SportsLine consensus, after opening as 4.5-point favorites. Boston is at -141 on the money line (risk $141 to win $100), with OKC at +119 (risk $100 to win $119). The over/under for total points scored is 229.5. Before making any Celtics vs. Thunder picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Celtics 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Celtics vs. Thunder:

Thunder vs. Celtics spread: Boston -2.5
Thunder vs. Celtics over/under: 229.5 points
Thunder vs. Celtics money line: Boston -141, OKC +119
OKC: The Thunder have covered the spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+17.20 units)
BOS: The Celtics have hit the team total under in 48 of their last 71 games (+22.05 units)
Thunder vs. Celtics picks: See picks at SportsLine
Thunder vs. Celtics streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
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Why the Celtics can cover
Small forward Tatum (knee), who missed Monday’s game against Utah, is listed as questionable. He leads the team in scoring at 27.2 points per game with 60 starts. If he can’t go or is limited, shooting guard Jaylen Brown will help pick up the scoring slack. In 54 games, all starts, Brown is averaging 23.3 points, 6.1 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.3 steals in 35.4 minutes.

Point guard Derrick White is one of six Celtics players averaging double-figure scoring. He registered a double-double in Monday’s win over the Jazz. In 36 minutes of action, he scored 18 points, dished out 10 assists, grabbed five rebounds and blocked three shots. He scored 41 points and added three rebounds, three steals and two assists in a 128-118 win over Portland on March 5. In 62 games, all starts, he is averaging 16.6 points, 4.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds in 33.7 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Thunder can cover
Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on a roll of late. He has scored 25 or more points in each of the last nine games, including a 51-point, seven-assist and five-rebound performance in a 137-128 win over the Houston Rockets on March 3. He scored 40 points, grabbed eight rebounds, dished out five assists and blocked three shots in a 127-103 win over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. In 63 games, all starts, he is averaging 32.7 points, 6.2 assists, 5.1 rebounds, 1.8 steals and 1.1 blocks in 34.3 minutes.

Also powering the Thunder is power forward Chet Holmgren. He has registered two double-doubles over the past five games, including a 22-point and 17-rebound effort in a 129-121 win over the Brooklyn Nets on Feb. 26. He scored 14 points and added eight rebounds and four blocks in the win over the Nuggets on Sunday. In 20 games, all starts, he is averaging 14.6 points, 8.3 rebounds, 2.8 blocks and 1.9 assists in 26.5 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Thunder vs. Celtics picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Celtics vs. Thunder 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 227 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Thunder vs. Celtics on Wednesday, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games
Here are some of the sportsbooks to bet on NBA games today, along with the various NBA sportsbook promos they currently offer.

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 Top DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy basketball picks for Wednesday, March 12 include LaMelo Ball

Two of the top teams in the NBA go head-to-head on Wednesday when the Boston Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a matchup sure to generate plenty of interest from daily Fantasy basketball players and regular NBA fans alike. This potential NBA Finals preview features popular options from the NBA DFS player pool such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylen Brown (probable) and Jayson Tatum (questionable). It’s undoubtedly the most high-profile of the nine games on Wednesday’s NBA schedule, but is it the best contest to highlight in an NBA DFS strategy?

The Jazz vs. Grizzlies game has the highest over/under at 246.5 points, five points higher than any other game, per SportsLine consensus. Although it lacks a championship feel, there could be cheaper, high-upside options for NBA DFS lineups such as Johnny Juzang, Kyle Filipowski and Jaylen Wells. Before making any NBA DFS picks, be sure to check out the NBA DFS advice, player rankings, stacks, and top daily Fantasy basketball picks from SportsLine’s Mike McClure.

McClure is a DFS professional with more than $2 million in career winnings. He’s also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every minute of every game 10,000 times, taking factors like matchups, statistical trends and injuries into account. This allows him to find the best NBA DFS values on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel and create optimal lineups that he shares only over at SportsLine. They’re a must-see for any NBA DFS player.

On Tuesday, McClure highlighted Pistons center Jalen Duren as one of his top NBA DFS picks from the NBA DFS player pool on both sites. The result: Duren had 15 points, 13 rebounds and two blocks, returning 36.2 points on DraftKings and 35.6 points on FanDuel. Anybody who included him in their lineups could have been well on the way to a profitable day.

McClure has turned his attention to NBA action on Wednesday and locked in his top daily Fantasy basketball picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

Top NBA DFS picks for Wednesday, March 12
For Wednesday, one of McClure’s top NBA DFS picks is Hornets point guard LaMelo Ball, who is listed at $9,600 on DraftKings and $9,700 on FanDuel. Ball struggled and shot 5 of 21 on Monday. But his playmaking ability still made him an asset for NBA DFS lineups to finish with a double-double with 15 points and 10 assists. Ball, in his fifth NBA season, is averaging a career-best 25.6 ppg this season on a career-high 21.9 shots per contest.

The Hornets are giving Ball the freedom to create for himself and others in a lost season as the Hornets head into a matchup against one of the worst scoring defenses in the league. Charlotte plays the Hawks, who have the 27th-ranked scoring defense at 119.7 ppg. Ball had 34 points against Atlanta earlier this season, and McClure expects another huge performance.

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Another part of McClure’s optimal NBA DFS strategy includes rostering Grizzlies guard Desmond Bane ($8,300 on DraftKings and $8,500 on FanDuel). The 26-year-old struggled with his shot in his last game and finished with 10 points on Monday. But Bane was coming off one of his best performances of the season with 30 points, nine rebounds and eight assists the night before. Bane is averaging 23.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists over five games in March, and McClure expects Wednesday to look more like Sunday.

The Grizzlies play the Jazz, who have lost six straight games. Utah is battling multiple injuries in its starting lineup and has allowed at least 118 points in five of those losses. The Jazz have the third-worst scoring defense (119.8) in the league this season, and Bane is averaging 23.8 ppg over his last four games against Utah. See McClure’s other NBA DFS picks right here.

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How to set your NBA DFS lineups for Wednesday, March 12
McClure is also targeting a player who could go off for massive numbers on Wednesday because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.

Who is DFS pro Mike McClure putting in his optimal NBA DFS lineups for Wednesday? Visit SportsLine now to see optimal NBA DFS picks, rankings, advice, and stacks, all from a professional DFS player who has over $2 million in career winnings, and find out.

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Sharp money picks by professional football bettors in Las Vegas

One of the marquee matchups on the Week 3 NFL schedule is a cross-conference matchup between unbeaten teams with Minnesota Vikings (2-0) hosting the Houston Texans (2-0) on Sunday at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Vikings are coming off a 23-17 upset win over the San Francisco 49ers, while the Texans beat the Bears 19-13 on Sunday Night Football in Week 2. The Vikings are 1.5-point home underdogs in the latest Week 3 NFL odds, and the over/under is 46.5 points. Is Vikings vs. Texans among the Week 3 NFL games that NFL sharps are targeting in Las Vegas? Before making NFL Week 3 picks or bets, you need to see the against the spread picks from the sharp money gamblers and professional football bettors in Las Vegas.

Sharp money bettors are notorious in Las Vegas for finding value in point spreads and betting lines that casual bettors may not see. These professional bettors are respected by sportsbooks in Vegas and all around the world, and their betting action often causes bookmakers to change their lines.

Jay Kornegay of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas joined SportsLine NFL expert Jimmie Kaylor to share who the Vegas sharps are backing in the Week 3 NFL odds. Kornegay is a longtime oddsmaker at the SuperBook, and has been a key player on the Vegas bookmaking scene for more than 25 years. He was inducted into the Sports Betting Hall of Fame Class of 2024.

Now that the sharps in Las Vegas have had a chance to digest the Week 3 NFL odds, they’ve start to lock in their picks for the Week 3 NFL schedule. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

Top Vegas NFL sharp money picks for Week 3
For Week 3, one of the Sharp Money plays the SuperBook has taken is the Baltimore Ravens (-1) covering against the Dallas Cowboys. It may only be Week 3, but this game is essentially a must-win for the Ravens if they want to keep pace in the AFC and live up to their billing as preseason Super Bowl contenders. Only one team since the 2000 season has qualified for the postseason after opening the season with three straight losses.

Lamar Jackson is the reigning NFL MVP, and he has arguably the best supporting cast he’s ever had as a pro. Two-time rushing champion Derrick Henry joins Jackson in the Ravens’ backfield, and the former Alabama star is a threat to erupt in any game he plays. Tight end Mark Andrews and wide receiver Zay Flowers give the Ravens a dynamic duo on the outside that will keep Dallas from being able to stack the box to defend the run. See who else the Vegas Sharps are backing in Week 3 here.

How to get sharp money Vegas NFL ATS picks for Week 3
The Vegas sharps have also targeted two other NFL games and already locked in their against the spread picks. You can only see who they are backing in Week 3 here.

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Fade this undefeated team

Can the Arizona Cardinals stay hot and should you back them with your Week 3 NFL bets? Arizona is 1-1 on the season following a surprise 41-10 win against the Los Angeles Rams. Kyler Murray threw for 266 yards and three touchdowns in that game, connecting with rookie wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. for two of those scores. It could be hard for them to repeat that success in Week 3, however, as they welcome the Detroit Lions to University of Phoenix Stadium. The Lions are hungry for revenge after falling 20-16 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2, upending many NFL knockout pool picks. They are 3-point favorites in the NFL odds to beat the Cardinals, like they have in four of the last five meetings between these teams, and could be popular Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks. Before finalizing any Week 3 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as its top survivor pick. New Orleans won in 79% of SportsLine’s simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the most lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of simulations, and L.A. also manhandled the Panthers, 26-3.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds and locked in its Week 3 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 3 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Chiefs (-3, 46.5) versus Atlanta, even though the reigning champs have started off 2-0, with wins over preseason Super Bowl contenders in the Ravens and Bengals. Patrick Mahomes may have won back-to-back Super Bowls, but Kirk Cousins has been the more productive quarterback two games into the season. In Week 2, Cousins threw for 241 yards and two touchdowns in a 22-21 upset win against the Philadelphia Eagles while Mahomes threw for 152 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in a narrow 26-25 win against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Mahomes will also be without some of this key weapons in Week 3. Star running back Isiah Pacheco (ankle) will miss at least six weeks and receiver Marquise Brown (collarbone) is still sidelined. Tight end Travis Kelce is having a slow start to the season and only had one catch in Week 2 and is about to go up against a Falcons pass defense that has only allowed one touchdown so far this season. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 3 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

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Model shares 2024 Week 3 NFL lines

Jim Harbaugh’s Los Angeles Chargers (2-0) visit Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) for a Week 3 AFC showdown on Sunday on CBS and Paramount+. Harbaugh has the Chargers undefeated heading into Week 3, but they could be at a disadvantage as Justin Herbert battles through an early-season ankle injury. Meanwhile, the Steelers continue to roll with Justin Fields under center and rely on the T.J. Watt-led defense to keep games close. You may be able to stream Sunday’s game live on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first seven days and get 50% off your first year when you sign up here (expires 9/23/24).

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is at 1 p.m. ET. The Steelers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Steelers vs. Chargers odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 35. Sunday’s game will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now get for 50% off your first year plus a 7-day free trial.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can now get 50% off one year of Paramount+ with SHOWTIME, plus a free 7-day trial. The offer is valid until 9/23/24, so sign up right here.

How to watch Chargers vs. Steelers
Steelers vs. Chargers date: Sunday, Sept. 22
Steelers vs. Chargers time: 1 p.m. ET
Steelers vs. Chargers TV channel: CBS
Steelers vs. Chargers streaming: Paramount+
Week 3 NFL picks for Chargers vs. Steelers
Before tuning into Sunday’s Steelers vs. Chargers game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL betting picks since Week 7 of 2022.

For Steelers vs. Chargers, the model is picking Pittsburgh to cover the spread at home. Sunday’s matchup promises to be an interesting one since both teams have primarily stayed undefeated because of their defenses. Los Angeles has gotten a nice boost from running back J.K. Dobbins, but his production could see a decline on Sunday against a Steelers rush defense that ranks fourth in the NFL.

In addition, the Steelers have dominated this series over the years, winning 10 of the last 14 meetings against the Chargers. Los Angeles is also 1-5 in its last six meetings against an AFC opponent, while the Steelers have won five of their past seven games when playing as the favorite. You may be able to stream the game here.